Γp,ΔB=1 = 0
Exact Z6 forbids the ordinary isolated-proton ΔB=1 channel while the symmetry is preserved.
Archive record · August 19, 2026
Prediction Update
This record freezes the August 19 prediction inventory in the requested order: new predictions, changed or superseded predictions, then the remaining active prediction/testing surfaces.
Historical record: This page preserves the dated state of the project. For current claims and status, use Results and the Full Prediction Index.
Claim boundary: the v22 PDF remains the current live public paper while v23 is under controlled revision. The August 19 reproducibility bundle executes the 18 canonical gates plus two blocking auxiliary layers: Frog closeout integrity and the authoritative new-prediction reproduction suite. Internal PASS is not independent scientific validation.
01 · New predictions
Three prediction groups survived the global audit.
Only results that survived the August 19 robustness, provenance, circularity, and cross-sector checks are promoted here.
NP-01 · QCD light-quark response
Controlled changes in the RGI light-quark mass move the frozen isoQCD nucleon surface monotonically.
| Change in mud | Predicted ΔMN |
|---|---|
| −20% | −8.808 ± 2.940 MeV |
| −10% | −4.390 ± 1.456 MeV |
| −5% | −2.192 ± 0.725 MeV |
| +5% | +2.185 ± 0.719 MeV |
| +10% | +4.362 ± 1.429 MeV |
| +20% | +8.697 ± 2.826 MeV |
Associated local response: Σud(t0 fixed) = 43.76 ± 14.42 MeV; Kud = d ln(MN)/d ln(mud)|t0 = 0.04650 ± 0.01602. Sign and monotonic direction survive every leave-one-lattice-spacing rerun. This is a fixed-t0 response prediction, not a promoted physical sigma-term determination.
NP-02 · Exact-Z6 baryon violationIsolated proton First allowed order Lifetime boundary
ΔB = 1 and ΔB = 2 are forbidden; ΔB = 3 is first allowed.
ΔB = 3
The lowest local fermionic EFT operator occurs at dimension 15, with coefficient suppression Λ−11.
OPEN
No trinucleon lifetime is predicted because the dimension-15 Wilson coefficient / U(1)X-breaking scale remains open.
Leading channel classes: ppp → e+π+π+; ppn → e+π+; pnn → e+π0; nnn → ν̄π0.
NP-03 · PSN-v2 split-spectrum gauge running
A three-threshold one-loop electromagnetic running signature is frozen.
| Scale | αem−1(μ) |
|---|---|
| 250 GeV | 127.529077 |
| 1 TeV | 126.720080 |
| 2 TeV | 126.274648 |
| 2.568378 TeV | 126.022525 |
| 3 TeV | 125.791779 |
| 3.632235 TeV | 125.507708 |
| 10 TeV | 123.573523 |
| 100 TeV | 119.175910 |
Thresholds: 1.81611748, 2.56837797, 3.63223496 TeV. Jumps in dαem−1/d ln μ: −0.424413182, −0.477464829, −0.424413182. The unresolved D/S sfermion label assignment cancels exactly from αem and α3 at one loop.
The weak-angle branch is not label-invariant and therefore remains a two-branch prediction envelope: sin²θ̂(3 TeV) = 0.247996–0.249266; at 10 TeV = 0.250897–0.252683; at 100 TeV = 0.257080–0.258932.
Boundary: downstream one-loop propagation of the frozen August 18 PSN-v2 chain; not an independent re-derivation of its upstream MZ normalization.
02 · Predictions/results that changed
Several attractive intermediate results were explicitly demoted or superseded.
These values remain in provenance where useful, but they are not part of the authoritative prediction set.
| Earlier/intermediate result | Current status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Finite isolated-proton lifetime from the older conventional v22 GUT branch | Historical / superseded as active proton prediction | Exact Z6 instead gives Γp,ΔB=1 = 0 and first allows ΔB=3. |
| Physical sigma terms 45.42 / 51.85 MeV | Superseded | The archived t0 scale-response fit failed controlled continuum promotion. |
| Light-quark curvature −126.7 GeV−1 | Demoted | Leave-one-β and influential-ensemble checks did not preserve the effect. |
| Strange response and dependent fT / yN values | Not promoted / superseded | Model and lattice-spacing sensitivity is too large; downstream quantities depended on the superseded sigma promotion. |
| Effective SUSY scale 2.782648 TeV and GUT scale 1.778976×1016 GeV as independent predictions | Consistency diagnostics only | Global provenance audit found circularity in re-solving quantities already encoded in the electroweak starting point. |
| Simplified single-3-TeV two-loop collider running | Diagnostic only | Replaced by the recovered PSN-v2 split-spectrum one-loop forecast. |
| Full 7–9–2 / Hodge numerical flavor prediction | Not promoted | The source-complete discrete set fails the full CKM test; a target-free vacuum/holonomy selector remains open. |
| Self-consistent lattice-HVP α branch using external QCD response | Conditional comparison only | It is not an internally generated UTFANSWF QCD response. |
03 · Remaining prediction / testing surfaces
The rest of the current UTFANSWF surface remains, with its existing claim boundaries.
H₀ = 73.134202 km/s/Mpc
The UTFANSWF distributed-H₀ candidate remains 73.134202 km/s/Mpc. The v23 hardening run also contains a separate background-fit result; that distinction is retained in the reproducibility record and will be formalized in the technical paper rather than used to replace this public distributed prediction.
Blind checkpoint: α−1 = 137.03735243
The verified post-mixed rung remains 137.00222764. The source-complete NP-QCD/HVP handoff remains open; the checkpoint is not over-promoted as a final source-complete prediction.
MNisoQCD = 941.223 ± 35.184 MeV
The target-isolated Nf=2+1 continuum/chiral nucleon-mass closure remains active. Full charged-proton QCD+QED remains a separate open numerical boundary.
Declared band: 6–60 μeV
The rounded prediction/search band remains unchanged. The current root comparison table directly covers 10–60 μeV; no 6–10 μeV exclusion data are fabricated.
Kerr QNM benchmark PASS; canonical echo amplitude CLOSED at zero
The canonical EH+R² tensor handoff now derives cT²=1, mT²=0, RNZH=0, ε1=0, and Υ=0 for the stationary Kerr branch. A nonzero reflective NZH response would require additional independently derived dynamics and remains a separate noncanonical extension. The older direct scalar axion↔echo recycling equality is replaced by one global response operator with channel projections, so the Row 21 axion gate remains independent.
Diagnostic retained; physical validation OPEN
The archived eight-point UVLF diagnostic remains reproducible, but its historical headline is not silently promoted to a standalone physical JWST PASS.
√2/5 remains a viable candidate ratio
The ratio remains globally compatible and useful downstream, but present target-free structure does not uniquely force it.
Structural ingredients retained; full CKM/CP prediction OPEN
Three-family topology, ordered P3 structure, inherited ε = √2/5, and Hodge-minimal 10:5̄ = 2:1 weighting remain as structural candidates. The current numerical 7–9–2 reconstruction does not close CKM/CP.
August 20 pre-PDF gravity/GW closure: the public v23 executable now carries the canonical propagation map
The numerical IR scalaron mass
M*² = M_Pl²[1 + R/(3m_s²)]ν(z) = −(1+z)R′(z)/(3m_s² + R)dL_GW/dL_EM = √{[1+R(0)/(3m_s²)]/[1+R(z)/(3m_s²)]}The numerical IR scalaron mass
m_s remains an explicit open selector; it is not fitted here. Protected main.tex and main.pdf remain unchanged.Executable provenance
The authoritative prediction set is now inside the verified v23 reproducibility bundle.
python -m harness.run_all_gates
18 / 18 canonical gates: PASS
Frog 8/8 integrity auxiliary: PASS
New Predictions auxiliary: PASS
Overall blocking verdict: PASS
UTFANSWF_v23.zip
SHA-256: cf3d267866c36d7a57064ff0015f5530e78f5f7ae0a50416c60483af96d111c6
The canonical historical gate numbering remains 18 gates. Frog integrity and the August 19 prediction suite are blocking auxiliary reproduction layers; they do not create artificial Row 30/31/32 physics gates.
Aug. 19 portability hotfix: the public reproducibility ZIP now uses ASCII-only Row 20 console labels (
chi2/dof) to avoid legacy Windows console encoding failures. The numerical Row 20 result, promoted Aug. 19 prediction values, datasets, and protected paper files remain unchanged. Aug. 20 executable revision: Row 19/23 now carry the canonical gravity/GW closure and Row 25 consumes the resulting zero-echo boundary. On Aug. 21 the current production artifact was standardized to UTFANSWF_v23.zip; prior bundle filenames and checksums remain preserved in the historical provenance records. Prior portability-hotfix SHA-256: 3b855e81b599a127. Earlier Aug. 19 baseline SHA-256: c0782633d3fbfd9a.main.tex and main.pdf remain protected and unchanged.